Colorado was all over the Leafs for a long stretch, outchancing them 10-4 over the middle half hour of the game. They were rewarded for their dominance early in the third, Parenteau and McGinn taking advantage of a poor shift from Ranger and Gardiner to break in on a 2-on-1. After falling behind, the Leafs finally showed some pressure of their own, but despite a solid powerplay and a few other good chances, they couldn't beat Varlamov for an equalizer.
It may be the first loss of the year, but it's hard to despair too much, as the game was fairly even. Colorado's first goal was a poor one, not from the scoring chance area, the only real blemish on what was otherwise a good game from Bernier.
A summary of the scoring chances:
Follow below the fold for details.
This was my list of scoring chances from the game. If you see any problems or omissions (here or anywhere else), please go ahead and leave a comment.
|COL||ES||1||18:42||Landeskog wide from Stastny||4||21||42||44||45||81||1||4||5||26||40||92|
|TOR||ES||1||16:18||Lupul from rebound of Bolland shot||15||28||37||43||45||51||1||4||5||11||15||29|
|COL||ES||1||15:55||Duchesne from loose puck||3||12||19||36||42||45||1||4||5||9||17||90|
|COL||ES||1||15:18||Landeskog from Tanguay||4||21||42||44||45||81||1||6||8||26||40||92|
|TOR||ES||1||15:00||Ashton wide from Kadri||15||28||37||43||45||51||1||11||15||16||29||61|
|TOR||ES||1||14:55||Kadri deflects Orr shot||15||23||40||45||51||59||1||7||16||55||58||61|
|TOR||ES||1||12:42||Kessel from rebound of Van Riemsdyk shot||3||21||36||42||45||81||1||16||26||40||61||92|
|TOR||ES||1||10:28||Raymond wide from drive||3||12||36||42||45||81||1||4||6||26||40||92|
|COL||ES||1||09:32||Parenteau from MacKinnon||4||12||19||44||45||63||1||11||15||16||29||61|
|COL||ES||1||06:30||Johnson from Stastny||3||19||36||45||51||63||1||4||6||17||26||92|
|TOR||ES||1||05:45||Lupul wide from Kadri||4||19||43||44||45||81||1||5||8||9||17||90|
|TOR||ES||1||05:13||Orr from loose puck||15||28||37||43||45||51||1||6||8||11||15||29|
|TOR||ES||1||04:42||Gardiner from rebound||3||21||36||42||45||81||1||16||26||40||61||92|
|TOR||ES||1||04:05||Kessel from loose puck||3||21||36||42||45||81||1||16||26||40||61||92|
|TOR||ES||1||02:27||Lupul steals from Johnson||12||15||19||45||51||63||1||6||7||8||17||90|
|COL||ES||1||00:10||O'Rielly from Duchene||3||12||19||36||45||63||1||9||16||17||61||90|
|COL||SH||2||18:23||Barrie from Parenteau||63||12||15||51||45||-||26||15||92||4||6||1|
|COL||ES||2||12:56||Landeskog from Tanguay||42||81||21||4||44||45||26||40||92||6||8||1|
|COL||ES||2||11:45||Mitchell drive from McLeod||23||19||59||15||51||45||7||55||58||16||61||1|
|COL||ES||2||10:20||MacKinnon steals from Orr||43||28||37||15||51||45||29||15||11||6||8||1|
|COL||ES||2||09:39||Hejda from Tanguay||42||81||21||4||44||45||26||40||92||4||8||1|
|TOR||ES||2||06:56||Gunnarson from Kadri||43||19||37||3||36||45||29||17||11||6||61||1|
|TOR||ES||2||06:48||GOAL! Lupul from rebound of Ashton shot||43||19||37||3||36||45||29||17||11||6||61||1|
|COL||ES||2||04:35||O'Reilly wide from loose puck||63||19||12||3||36||45||9||90||17||6||8||1|
|COL||ES||2||04:32||O'Reilly from Duchesne||63||19||12||3||36||45||9||90||17||6||8||1|
|COL||ES||3||17:30||GOAL! Parenteau from McGinn||43||28||59||15||51||45||29||15||11||16||61||1|
|COL||ES||3||16:48||Duchesne from Sarich||63||19||12||3||36||45||9||90||17||16||61||1|
|TOR||ES||3||11:16||Lupul wide from Raymond||63||19||12||3||15||45||9||90||17||16||61||1|
|TOR||PP||3||09:42||Bozak deflects Kessel shot||42||81||21||3||4||45||7||55||5||8||1||-|
|TOR||PP||3||08:15||Franson from Kessell||42||81||21||3||4||45||7||55||5||8||1||-|
|TOR||PP||3||07:59||Kessel from Bozak||42||81||21||3||4||45||7||55||5||8||1||-|
|TOR||ES||3||01:37||Bozak wide from rebound||42||81||21||3||15||45||9||90||17||6||8||1|
|COL||ES||3||00:59||Stastny from Tanguay||42||81||21||3||4||45||26||40||92||6||8||1|
|TOR||ES||3||00:16||Bozak from loose puck||42||63||81||21||3||4||26||40||92||6||8||1|
The Extra Skater game profile.
The Leafs were outshot, but narrowly out Fenwick'd the Avs, and had a solid lead in Corsi, overall and 5-on-5. They had two solid periods, bookending a real struggle in the second.
The scoring chance numbers for the Leaf players:
After a poor game, Kadri bounced back really well, responding to being placed with Orr and and Ashton with his best game of the season, generating seven chances and on for just two. Likewise, Ashton was very good, getting his first career point on Lupul's goal and joining Kadri with a team high +5 differential. Both players also had very high Corsi Rels, showing how much they controlled the play. Very good stuff.
In contrast, Raymond, Bolland and Lupul didn't play well, each taking big negatives, and Lupul on for a team leading 9 chances against. A good chunk of those chances came against the Duchene line, which dominated them in the second period. Given this, I was a little surprised to see Carlyle using Bolland as the extra skater in the last minute, rather than Kadri. Bolland's earned the shot with his good play the last two games, but Kadri's talent and strong play last night seemed like they should have been rewarded.
Kessel was good as usual, leading the forwards in chances with 8, and putting up a +3, while JVR and Bozak lagged behind him.
Another game, another bout of confusion regarding Paul Ranger. He looked really slow on the winning goal, and didn't seem to be great overall, but he had the best differential on the defense, as well as the best CorsiRel. I think this may be down to competition; he hasn't been facing top opposition much, so he's more able to cope with what's asked of him. It'll continue to be interesting to watch. Morgan Rielly looked more comfortable than in his debut, but was still pretty vulnerable to chances; you can see the talent there, but I wonder if keeping him up makes sense. It'll take time for him to get use to defending at the NHL level, and the pressure on him when he has some struggles will be big.
Phaneuf was solid, while Gunnarson had a pretty profligate game, as 8 even strength chances against is by far his worst showing this year.
Duchene was very good as Colorado's best player, on the ice for a lot of chances, but also driving a lot of those chances personally. His linemates O'Reilly and Downie were also good. Barrie didn't play a lot, but was good on the back end, while Hejda, who led the team in even strength ice time, was also quite good.
MacKinnon has a lot of talent, but had a bit of a rough game with some poor clearance attempts leading to chances, and McGinn, who ended up assisting on the winner, didn't actually play that well over the 60 minutes.
Players with nice chance numbers:
Toronto -Nazem Kadri, Carter Ashton, Phil Kessel
Colorado - Matt Duchene, Ryan O'Reilly, Jan Hejda
Players with poor chance numbers:
Toronto - Mason Raymond, Joffrey Lupul, Dave Bolland
Colorado - Jamie McGinn, Nathan MacKinnon, Andre Benoit