Monday, December 16, 2013

Game 34 - Leafs 7, Chicago 3 - Dominant Leafs surprise defending champs

The last game against St. Louis notwithstanding, the Leafs have had a couple of decent performances recently without reward, something that changed in a big way on Saturday, with Toronto putting up its best performance of the season to handily beat the defending Stanley Cup champions.

The first period was closely fought, with neither team generating many chances, Toronto taking the lead through Holland's powerplay marker, before a couple of Leaf penalties gave Chicago a 5-on-3, which saw Patrick Kane level the game.

After just five ES chances total in the first period, the second took a rapid turnaround, as Toronto generated five themselves in the first three minutes, including another goal, Jerry D'Amigo's first in the NHL. Chicago actually managed to equal Toronto in chances after that torrid start, but the goals went Toronto's way, with Holland getting a second eight minutes from the break, followed by a quick exchange of goals between Kane and Kulemin, and Lupul tipping one in just before the end of the period to give the Leafs some insurance.

Toronto were able to consolidate the lead fairly well in the third, not falling into the highly defensive shell that has afflicted some of their games. They were helped by an early goal by Lupul, scoring on the first NHL shot faced by goalie Kent Simpson. Brendan Saad cut the lead to three, but another quick response, this time from Kessel, reestablished a 4-goal lead. The last ten minutes were about as dull as Toronto would want, as there were just two chances in the last 1/6th of the game.

The chance margins didn't quite equal what the Leafs produced in the LA game, but given that that was chasing a lead, versus defending one against Chicago, that's not wholly unsurprising. Toronto's second period, when they generated 12 ES chances, was their best of the season, though they have surpassed the +5 margin on a couple of occasions. This was a net turnaround of 20 chances from the Leafs' first game in Chicago, which was one of their worst of the season.

A summary of the scoring chances:
Status Overall ES
Team Toronto Chicago Toronto Chicago
1 5 4 3 2
2 13 7 12 7
3 5 4 5 4
Total 23 15 20 13

Details below.


This was my list of scoring chances from the game. If you see any problems or omissions (here or anywhere else), please go ahead and leave a comment.
Club St P Time Note Toronto Chicago
TOR PP 1 16:35 Kadri from Van Riemsdyk 43 81 21 3 4 45 28 52 2 4 31 -
TOR ES 1 15:52 Holland from Raymond 24 19 12 26 36 45 19 10 88 6 8 31
CHI PP 1 13:09 Toews drives 43 81 21 3 4 45 19 81 7 27 31 -
TOR PP 1 12:46 GOAL! Holland from Lupul 24 19 12 44 51 45 16 26 7 27 31 -
CHI ES 1 09:09 Sharp deflects Toews shot wide 24 19 29 4 51 45 19 10 81 2 7 31
CHI ES 1 07:05 Shaw from Morin 23 81 38 26 51 45 65 11 20 6 8 31
TOR ES 1 06:05 Kessel from Gardiner 43 81 21 4 51 45 16 28 52 2 7 31
TOR ES 1 06:03 Kessel from loose puck 43 81 21 4 51 45 16 28 52 2 7 31
CHI SH 1 04:53 Kane from Sharp 11 41 3 36 45 - 19 65 10 88 2 31
TOR ES 2 19:19 Kulemin from loose puck 11 29 41 3 36 45 19 10 81 2 7 31
TOR ES 2 19:18 GOAL! D'Amigo from rebound of Kulemin shot 11 29 41 3 36 45 19 10 81 2 7 31
TOR ES 2 18:30 Holland from Franson 24 19 12 4 51 45 26 23 88 6 8 31
TOR ES 2 18:19 Kessel from Van Riemsdyk 43 81 21 26 44 45 16 28 52 4 27 31
TOR ES 2 17:30 Raymond from Lupul 24 19 12 26 44 45 65 11 20 6 8 31
CHI ES 2 17:19 Shaw wide from Saad 24 19 12 26 44 45 65 11 20 2 7 31
CHI ES 2 15:59 Kane drives 11 29 41 4 51 45 19 23 88 2 6 31
CHI ES 2 13:59 Hossa wide from Sharp 11 29 41 3 36 45 19 10 81 2 7 31
TOR ES 2 12:56 Lupul wide from Holland 24 19 12 4 51 45 16 81 52 4 27 31
CHI ES 2 09:57 Kruger from Smith 43 81 21 26 44 45 16 10 28 4 27 31
TOR ES 2 09:21 D'Amigo wide from Kulemin 11 29 41 3 36 45 19 10 81 6 8 31
TOR ES 2 07:51 GOAL! Holland from Raymond 24 19 12 36 51 45 26 23 88 2 7 31
CHI ES 2 07:16 Saad from Morin 43 81 21 26 44 45 65 11 20 4 27 31
CHI ES 2 06:30 GOAL! Kane from Hjalmarsson 43 81 21 26 44 45 65 88 20 4 27 31
TOR ES 2 05:24 GOAL! Kulemin from McClement 11 29 41 3 36 45 19 10 81 6 8 31
TOR PP 2 02:52 GOAL! Lupul deflects Gardiner shot 24 19 12 44 51 45 28 52 2 4 31 -
CHI ES 2 02:39 Kane from Saad 24 19 12 4 51 45 65 88 20 6 8 31
TOR ES 2 01:50 Kulemin from D'Amigo 11 29 41 3 36 45 26 88 20 6 8 31
TOR ES 2 01:19 Kadri post from Kessel 43 81 21 3 36 45 26 10 81 2 7 31
TOR ES 2 00:47 Kessel deflects Phaneuf shot wide 43 81 21 3 51 45 19 23 11 2 7 31
TOR ES 3 19:32 GOAL! Lupul from Holland 24 19 12 4 51 45 65 88 20 2 7 40
CHI ES 3 17:08 Morin from Shaw 43 81 21 26 44 45 65 11 20 4 27 40
TOR ES 3 14:05 Van Riemsdyk wide from Kessel 43 81 21 26 44 45 26 28 52 4 27 40
TOR ES 3 13:09 Holland wide from Lupul 24 19 12 4 51 45 65 88 20 2 7 40
CHI ES 3 12:22 GOAL! Saad deflects Leddy shot 24 19 12 4 51 45 19 88 20 6 8 40
TOR ES 3 11:25 GOAL! Kessel from Kadri 43 81 21 26 44 45 26 23 81 2 4 40
CHI ES 3 10:55 Kostka from Kane 43 81 21 4 51 45 26 23 88 6 8 40
CHI ES 3 06:15 Kane drives 24 12 41 26 44 45 16 23 88 6 27 40
TOR ES 3 01:05 Kessel wide from Franson 11 81 29 4 51 45 88 11 20 7 8 40

The Extra Skater game profile.

A modest Corsi loss for the Leafs, 56-67 overall, 46-58 5-on-5 and 25-29 5-on-5 close.

The scoring chance numbers for the Leaf players:
Player F A D TOI ESF ESA ESD EVTOI PPF PPA PPD PPTOI SHF SHA SHD SHTOI
Phaneuf 8 3 5 19:12 7 1 6 13:09 1 1 0 04:00 0 1 -1 02:03
Franson 8 6 2 24:56 7 5 2 19:58 1 1 0 04:03 0 0 0 00:55
Mcclement 6 3 3 16:55 6 2 4 14:39 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 02:16
Raymond 9 4 5 18:49 7 4 3 15:41 2 0 2 02:42 0 0 0 00:26
Lupul 9 4 5 18:06 7 4 3 15:24 2 0 2 02:42 0 0 0 00:00
Van riemsdyk 8 6 2 21:17 7 5 2 16:34 1 1 0 04:03 0 0 0 00:40
Smith 0 1 -1 04:35 0 1 -1 04:35 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Holland 9 5 4 19:22 7 5 2 16:40 2 0 2 02:42 0 0 0 00:00
Liles 5 7 -2 17:20 5 7 -2 17:16 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:04
D'amigo 6 3 3 13:48 6 3 3 13:19 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:29
Gunnarsson 8 2 6 15:16 8 1 7 12:58 0 0 0 00:12 0 1 -1 02:06
Mclaren 0 1 -1 04:39 0 1 -1 04:39 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Bodie 0 0 0 04:32 0 0 0 04:32 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Kulemin 5 4 1 16:00 5 3 2 14:18 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 01:42
Kadri 8 6 2 18:28 7 5 2 14:24 1 1 0 04:03 0 0 0 00:01
Rielly 6 6 0 17:14 4 6 -2 14:40 2 0 2 02:33 0 0 0 00:01
Gardiner 11 6 5 26:02 9 6 3 22:25 2 0 2 02:42 0 0 0 00:55
Kessel 9 7 2 20:03 8 6 2 15:59 1 1 0 04:03 0 0 0 00:01
Bernier 23 15 8 59:55 20 13 7 50:08 3 1 2 06:45 0 1 -1 03:02

A very balanced night for the Leafs forwards, with no one line dominating the chances, as the second and third lines were both very effective. Jay McClement had the best differential, at +4, while Raymond, Lupul and D'Amigo, who was excellent in a promotion as Clarkson was suspended, were just behind at +3. JVR, Kadri and Kessell were on for the most chances, and still had positive ratings. The only negative forwards were two of the fourth line guys, with Smith and McLaren both -1 in under 5 minutes.

Phaneuf and Gunnarsson had an excellent night, with Gunnarsson posting a game high +7. Jake Gardiner was on ice for a game-high 9 chances for, but was also on for a fair number, ending at +3. One pairing did struggle, as Rielly and Liles were a -2, the worst two players on the Leafs.


The Blackhawks:
Player F A D TOI ESF ESA ESD EVTOI PPF PPA PPD PPTOI SHF SHA SHD SHTOI
Keith 5 12 -7 23:53 4 10 -6 18:00 1 0 1 01:54 0 2 -2 03:59
Hjalmarsson 4 6 -2 19:01 4 4 0 15:08 0 0 0 00:01 0 2 -2 03:52
Kostka 6 6 0 19:01 6 6 0 19:01 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Seabrook 4 11 -7 20:09 3 10 -7 16:08 0 0 0 01:08 1 1 0 02:53
Leddy 4 7 -3 19:34 4 7 -3 18:26 0 0 0 01:08 0 0 0 00:00
Sharp 4 6 -2 14:40 3 6 -3 12:46 1 0 1 01:54 0 0 0 00:00
Morin 4 3 1 07:35 4 3 1 07:35 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Kruger 2 5 -3 13:39 2 4 -2 10:17 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 03:22
Toews 6 6 0 17:38 4 6 -2 13:49 1 0 1 01:54 1 0 1 01:55
Saad 7 5 2 16:02 7 5 2 14:54 0 0 0 01:08 0 0 0 00:00
Versteeg 3 4 -1 14:33 3 4 -1 13:25 0 0 0 01:08 0 0 0 00:00
Handzus 1 7 -6 13:25 1 6 -5 10:09 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 03:16
Oduya 6 4 2 16:37 5 3 2 13:51 0 0 0 00:00 1 1 0 02:46
Smith 1 6 -5 10:58 1 4 -3 09:21 0 0 0 00:00 0 2 -2 01:37
Bollig 0 7 -7 12:29 0 5 -5 10:52 0 0 0 00:00 0 2 -2 01:37
Shaw 7 3 4 16:44 6 3 3 15:20 1 0 1 01:24 0 0 0 00:00
Hossa 3 7 -4 16:14 2 7 -5 12:54 0 0 0 01:37 1 0 1 01:43
Kane 7 7 0 21:03 6 7 -1 19:09 1 0 1 01:54 0 0 0 00:00
Raanta 11 18 -7 40:00 9 15 -6 30:13 1 0 1 03:02 1 3 -2 06:45
Simpson 4 5 -1 20:00 4 5 -1 20:00 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00

Duncan Keith and Brent Seabrook are excellent defensemen, but they did not look great on Saturday, the two worst Hawks in terms of differential, and both on for a game-worst 10 chances against. The weakest forwards were Michael Handzus and Brandon Bollig. There were a few positive Hawks, with Brandon Saad and Johnny Oduya both +2s.

Players with nice chance numbers:
Toronto - Carl Gunnarsson, Dion Phaneuf, Jay McClement
Chicago - Brandon Saad, Johnny Oduya

Players with poor chance numbers:
Toronto - Morgan Rielly, John-Michael Liles
Chicago - Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith, Brandon Bollig

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