Saturday, November 23, 2013

Game 22 - Nashville 4, Leafs 2 - Toronto wins chances, loses after poor 2nd period

After opening with one of their stronger periods this season, the Leafs seemed to have the edge at home against Nashville, but weren't able to keep it up, eventually falling 4-2.

The Leafs managed 12 chances in an excellent opening frame; this came despite only being credited with 11 shots, as they hit a post and sent five chances wide. This lack of accuracy may have ended up hurting them, as despite their domination, they left the frame up only 1-0.

It was Nashville's turn to dominate in the second, and not only did they manage to better the Leafs' chance margin in the first, they scored three times to seize the lead going into the final period. Another early goal, a bad one from Bernier, really had Toronto on the back foot, and after the Leafs couldn't score on a solid stretch right either side of the 10 minute mark, they only managed one more chance the rest of the way. They did get a goal without a chance, when Kadri's long shot deflected in, but couldn't get closer than two goals.

Despite the defeat, this four-game stretch without losing the chance battle is the longest for the Leafs this year. Of course, it's also their longest stretch playing teams that aren't currently in playoff position, so the positive results in that aspect aren't unexpected.

A summary of the scoring chances:

Status Overall ES
Team Toronto Nashville Toronto Nashville
1 12 4 8 3
2 2 11 2 8
3 5 3 5 3
Total 19 18 15 14

Details below.



This was my list of scoring chances from the game. If you see any problems or omissions (here or anywhere else), please go ahead and leave a comment.

Club St P Time Note Toronto Nashville
TOR ES 1 19:19 Clarkson wide from Smith 23 19 71 3 36 45 12 33 27 3 8 39
TOR ES 1 19:13 Smith from rebound of Clarkson shot 23 19 71 3 36 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
TOR ES 1 18:52 Kessel backhand from Kadri 43 81 21 4 51 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
NSH SH 1 18:00 Cullen from Jones 11 41 3 36 45 - 7 15 33 3 4 39
TOR ES 1 14:12 GOAL! Holland from Kulemin 24 12 41 15 44 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
TOR PP 1 11:30 Kessel from Rielly 81 19 21 44 51 45 26 28 3 8 39 -
TOR ES 1 11:03 Clarkson post from Kadri 43 71 12 44 51 45 7 12 25 6 59 39
TOR ES 1 10:26 Clarkson wide from Franson 43 71 12 4 15 45 11 15 57 4 6 39
TOR PP 1 08:31 Kessel wide from loose puck 81 19 21 3 4 45 13 28 6 59 39 -
TOR PP 1 07:51 Clarkson from Rielly 43 71 12 44 51 45 12 13 3 64 39 -
TOR PP 1 07:45 Raymond from rebound of Clarkson shot 43 71 12 44 51 45 12 13 3 64 39 -
TOR ES 1 07:24 Kadri from Kessel 43 81 21 15 44 45 7 15 57 6 59 39
NSH ES 1 06:41 Stalberg wraparound 24 12 41 4 51 45 11 25 57 4 64 39
NSH ES 1 04:46 Ellis from loose puck 23 19 71 4 51 45 11 27 57 4 64 39
TOR ES 1 04:23 Orr wide from loose puck 11 22 28 15 44 45 11 25 57 4 64 39
NSH ES 1 01:29 Hornqvist wide from Wilson 23 19 71 3 36 45 12 33 27 6 59 39
NSH SH 2 18:28 Wilson from Ellis 11 22 3 36 45 - 7 15 33 3 4 39
NSH SH 2 16:13 Smith from Cullen 11 41 15 51 45 - 7 15 33 3 4 39
NSH ES 2 13:13 Stalberg from loose puck 24 19 71 3 36 45 12 33 25 3 8 39
TOR ES 2 12:00 Kessel from Kadri 43 81 21 15 44 45 7 13 15 6 59 39
NSH ES 2 11:39 Smith wide from Cullen 43 81 21 15 44 45 7 13 15 6 59 39
NSH ES 2 09:58 Ellis drives wide 23 19 71 3 4 45 12 33 27 4 64 39
NSH ES 2 09:34 Hornqvist from Wilson 23 19 71 3 4 45 12 33 27 6 59 39
NSH ES 2 08:46 GOAL! Cullen from Bourque 43 81 21 15 44 45 7 15 57 3 8 39
TOR ES 2 08:39 Raymond wide from Kulemin 24 12 41 4 51 45 7 13 15 3 8 39
NSH ES 2 05:24 Stalberg from Legwand 24 12 41 4 51 45 11 25 57 3 8 39
NSH ES 2 05:08 Bourque wide from rebound of Cullen shot 24 12 41 4 51 45 7 15 57 3 8 39
NSH SH 2 03:35 GOAL! Smith from Wilson 11 41 3 36 45 - 7 15 33 3 4 39
NSH ES 2 02:34 Josi from Stalberg 43 81 21 4 51 45 11 12 25 3 59 39
NSH ES 3 16:03 Hornqvist from Fisher 11 22 41 3 15 45 12 33 27 3 8 39
TOR ES 3 12:29 Rielly drives 23 19 71 44 51 45 11 26 16 6 8 39
TOR ES 3 12:02 Smith deflects Franson shot 23 19 71 4 51 45 11 26 16 6 8 39
TOR ES 3 09:44 Clarkson drives 23 19 71 15 44 45 7 13 15 3 8 39
TOR ES 3 08:59 Van Riemsdyk from Holland 24 81 21 4 51 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
NSH ES 3 08:46 Bourque wide from Legwand 24 81 21 4 51 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
NSH ES 3 05:42 Stalberg drives 23 19 71 15 44 45 11 25 57 6 59 39
TOR ES 3 02:06 Holland post from loose puck 24 81 19 21 3 44 11 25 57 3 8 39

The Extra Skater game profile.

The Leafs edged Nashville in overall Corsi 54-53, lost 38-40 5-on-5 and 25-26 5-on-5 close. So very little between the two teams.

The scoring chance numbers for the Leaf players:
Player F A D TOI ESF ESA ESD EVTOI PPF PPA PPD PPTOI SHF SHA SHD SHTOI
Phaneuf 4 8 -4 22:09 3 5 -2 15:47 1 0 1 02:28 0 3 -3 03:54
Franson 6 8 -2 22:36 5 8 -3 18:57 1 0 1 02:28 0 0 0 01:11
McClement 1 5 -4 12:12 1 1 0 07:31 0 0 0 00:00 0 4 -4 04:41
Raymond 6 3 3 15:26 4 3 1 14:26 2 0 2 01:00 0 0 0 00:00
Ranger 6 5 1 17:24 6 4 2 15:29 0 0 0 00:07 0 1 -1 01:48
Lupul 8 6 2 20:07 6 6 0 17:14 2 0 2 02:53 0 0 0 00:00
Van Riemsdyk 7 4 3 19:19 5 4 1 14:21 2 0 2 03:00 0 0 0 01:58
Smithson 1 2 -1 10:19 1 1 0 08:05 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 02:14
Smith 5 5 0 15:12 5 5 0 15:12 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Holland 4 5 -1 13:21 4 5 -1 13:21 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Orr 1 0 1 07:08 1 0 1 07:08 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Gunnarsson 2 5 -3 17:39 2 2 0 13:45 0 0 0 00:00 0 3 -3 03:54
Kulemin 2 7 -5 16:11 2 4 -2 13:40 0 0 0 00:00 0 3 -3 02:31
Kadri 7 3 4 15:04 5 3 2 13:57 2 0 2 01:07 0 0 0 00:00
Rielly 11 3 8 18:04 8 3 5 16:32 3 0 3 01:32 0 0 0 00:00
Gardiner 9 7 2 22:08 6 6 0 20:06 3 0 3 01:25 0 1 -1 00:37
Clarkson 9 6 3 17:03 7 6 1 16:03 2 0 2 01:00 0 0 0 00:00
Kessel 7 4 3 15:27 5 4 1 12:27 2 0 2 03:00 0 0 0 00:00
Bernier 18 18 0 57:29 14 14 0 47:47 4 0 4 04:00 0 4 -4 05:42

A decent game from Nazem Kadri, the best Leaf forward at +2. Clarkson also continued with some solid play, pushing himself into the positive overall on the season, and on for the highest number of chances for of any Leaf forward. Nikolai Kulemin was the worst of the Leaf forwards at -2.

Morgan Rielly has responded perfectly to sitting for a couple of games, playing two solid games this week, including his career-best in this game. A game-high +5, and on for a game-high 8 chances for, was a very strong showing. Paul Ranger was the other positive Leafs defender. It was another tough game for Cody Franson, a team-low -3, while Jake Gardiner was even as he led the team in ES ice time.


The Predators:

Player F A D TOI ESF ESA ESD EVTOI PPF PPA PPD PPTOI SHF SHA SHD SHTOI
Jones 10 7 3 21:13 6 4 2 16:01 4 0 4 03:36 0 3 -3 01:36
Ellis 7 2 5 12:39 3 2 1 09:45 4 0 4 02:54 0 0 0 00:00
Weber 5 11 -6 28:57 5 10 -5 24:30 0 0 0 02:03 0 1 -1 02:24
Cullen 7 5 2 14:06 3 5 -2 09:56 4 0 4 03:42 0 0 0 00:28
Klein 5 7 -2 20:50 5 6 -1 19:53 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 00:57
Legwand 6 9 -3 17:41 6 9 -3 15:41 0 0 0 02:00 0 0 0 00:00
Fisher 6 4 2 19:23 6 2 4 16:00 0 0 0 01:53 0 2 -2 01:30
Spaling 1 6 -5 13:06 1 3 -2 11:09 0 0 0 00:00 0 3 -3 01:57
Smith 7 5 2 13:42 3 5 -2 10:00 4 0 4 03:42 0 0 0 00:00
Clune 0 2 -2 07:51 0 2 -2 07:51 0 0 0 00:00 0 0 0 00:00
Stalberg 6 7 -1 16:43 6 7 -1 16:40 0 0 0 00:03 0 0 0 00:00
Hendricks 0 3 -3 11:27 0 2 -2 09:52 0 0 0 00:00 0 1 -1 01:35
Hornqvist 5 1 4 15:41 5 1 4 13:44 0 0 0 01:57 0 0 0 00:00
Gaustad 0 2 -2 11:19 0 0 0 08:56 0 0 0 00:00 0 2 -2 02:23
Wilson 9 1 8 18:40 5 1 4 14:54 4 0 4 03:46 0 0 0 00:00
Bourque 7 8 -1 16:16 7 8 -1 16:06 0 0 0 00:03 0 0 0 00:07
Josi 6 8 -2 25:45 6 7 -1 20:33 0 0 0 02:48 0 1 -1 02:24
Bartley 3 3 0 10:41 3 1 2 09:59 0 0 0 00:03 0 2 -2 00:39
Mazanec 18 19 -1 60:00 14 15 -1 50:18 4 0 4 05:42 0 4 -4 04:00


Hornqvist, Wilson and Fisher were the best of the Predators forwards, and some of the few Nashville players with positive differentials. Seth Jones was also one of those, while Shea Weber had a tough game, at a game-worst -5.

Players with nice chance numbers:
Toronto - Morgan Rielly, Nazem Kadri, Paul Ranger
Nashville - Patric Hornqvist, Colin Wilson, Mike Fisher

Players with poor chance numbers:
Toronto - Cody Franson, Nikolai Kulemin, Dion Phaneuf
Nashville - Shea Weber, Rich Clune

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