Through two, this was a dream game for the Leafs, they were up 3-0 after JVR scored a pair and Nik Kulemin broke his goalscoring drought, and had outchanced Buffalo 12-3 overall and 11-2 at even strength, including blanking the Sabres at even strength in the second.
The third was a strong answer from Buffalo; this is likely at least partially down to score effects, but getting outchanced 10-2 at even strength is concerning whatever the score is. Two goals early in the period meant Buffalo was chasing an equalizer for a good 12 minutes, but they weren't able to get past Reimer again, and Raymond scored a late powerplay goal to restore the Leafs' two goal lead.
Toronto won scoring chances again, though only barely, as they squandered most of their advantage in the first 2/3rds of the game in the final period. In fact, with this win, the Leafs outchanced their opposition in back-to-back games for the first time all season.
A summary of the scoring chances:
| Status | Overall | ES | ||
| Team | Toronto | Buffalo | Toronto | Buffalo |
| 1 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| Total | 17 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
Follow below the fold for details.
This was my list of scoring chances from the game. If you see any problems or omissions (here or anywhere else), please go ahead and leave a comment.
| Club | St | P | Time | Note | Toronto | Buffalo | ||||||||||
| TOR | ES | 1 | 17:02 | Gardiner from Van Riemsdyk | 81 | 22 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 28 | 78 | 32 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 1 | 15:04 | McBain from Ennis | 23 | 19 | 71 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 14:36 | Lupul wraparound | 23 | 19 | 71 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 14:32 | Smith from Ranger | 23 | 19 | 71 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 14:30 | Ranger from rebound of Smith shot | 23 | 19 | 71 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 14:15 | GOAL! Van Riemsdyk deflects Franson shot | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 28 | 65 | 82 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 13:44 | Lupul drives | 23 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 1 | 11:12 | Ennis from Ott | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 08:10 | Kulemin deflects Phaneuf shot wide | 11 | 12 | 41 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 9 | 19 | 63 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | PP | 1 | 06:25 | GOAL! Van Riemsdyk deflects Franson shot | 81 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 57 | 1 | - |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 03:40 | Clarkson wide from Smith | 23 | 19 | 71 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 19:03 | Van Riemsdyk wraparound | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 12:03 | Smith wide from Kessel | 23 | 81 | 19 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 20 | 55 | 1 |
| BUF | SH | 2 | 09:31 | Stafford from Tropp | 11 | 22 | 3 | 36 | 34 | - | 21 | 78 | 23 | 10 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 08:11 | GOAL! Kulemin from Raymond | 11 | 12 | 41 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 18:50 | Raymond wide from McClement | 11 | 12 | 41 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 17:45 | GOAL! McBain from Girgensons | 24 | 81 | 21 | 36 | 51 | 34 | 28 | 65 | 82 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| BUF | SH | 3 | 13:49 | GOAL! Ennis from Moulson | 11 | 41 | 15 | 36 | 34 | - | 19 | 63 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 12:56 | Ennis from Gardiner giveaway | 23 | 19 | 71 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 12:26 | Girgensons wraparound | 24 | 81 | 21 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 28 | 65 | 82 | 4 | 55 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 11:30 | Leino from loose puck | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 11:19 | Holland from Kessel | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 10:25 | Flynn from Tallinder | 23 | 19 | 71 | 4 | 36 | 34 | 28 | 65 | 82 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 06:25 | Tallinder wide from Moulson | 11 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 51 | 34 | 19 | 78 | 26 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 05:00 | Hodgson from Pysyk | 24 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 05:00 | Hodgson from faceoff | 11 | 22 | 41 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 03:30 | Ennis from Ott | 23 | 19 | 71 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 9 | 63 | 23 | 20 | 57 | 1 |
| TOR | PP | 3 | 01:57 | Kessel drives | 81 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 1 | - |
| TOR | PP | 3 | 01:28 | Lupul deflects Phaneuf shot wide | 81 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 1 | - |
| TOR | PP | 3 | 01:04 | GOAL! Raymond from Smith | 23 | 71 | 12 | 36 | 51 | 34 | 8 | 19 | 10 | 57 | 1 | - |
| BUF | ES | 3 | 00:52 | Stafford from loose puck | 11 | 22 | 41 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 26 | 10 | 57 |
The Extra Skater game profile.
Despite winning chances, the Leafs lost overall 46-65 in Corsi and 38-48 in 5-on-5 Corsi, though they managed to win 5-on-5 close 18-5.
The scoring chance numbers for the Leaf players:
| Player | F | A | D | TOI | ESF | ESA | ESD | EVTOI | PPF | PPA | PPD | PPTOI | SHF | SHA | SHD | SHTOI |
| Fraser | 3 | 0 | 3 | 03:54 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 03:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Phaneuf | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:26 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 01:49 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 03:01 |
| Franson | 8 | 7 | 1 | 21:24 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 18:47 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 01:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:59 |
| McClement | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18:31 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 02:30 |
| Raymond | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:00 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 00:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:24 |
| Ranger | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:00 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 01:36 |
| Lupul | 9 | 4 | 5 | 20:44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:06 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 01:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Van Riemsdyk | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16:25 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 13:12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 01:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 01:35 |
| Smithson | 1 | 3 | -2 | 09:24 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 07:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 01:53 |
| Smith | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:03 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 00:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Holland | 3 | 5 | -2 | 11:43 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 11:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Orr | 0 | 0 | 0 | 06:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 06:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Gunnarsson | 5 | 7 | -2 | 26:14 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 22:35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 00:01 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 03:38 |
| McLaren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 06:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 06:09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Kulemin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:00 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 02:52 |
| Gardiner | 7 | 7 | 0 | 23:19 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 23:07 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 00:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Clarkson | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:25 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17:13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 00:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Kessel | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15:01 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13:23 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 01:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 |
| Reimer | 17 | 14 | 3 | 59:35 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 53:08 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 01:50 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 04:37 |
Toronto had the best performance of the forwards from Joffrey Lupul and Trevor Smith, both on-ice for a team-high six chances for and a +2 overall. Also at +2 was Mason Raymond. Peter Holland got lot of credit on his debut, but was the lowest rated forward at -2. Kessel and Van Riemsdyk also weren't particularly effective, despite the latter's pair of goals.
Phaneuf had a solid defensive night, on for just two even strength chances against in nearly 20 minutes. Mark Fraser was the only other substantial positive on the Leafs defense, playing less than 4 minutes before picking up another knee injury. Jake Gardiner had an up-and-down game, a -1, on for a team-high 6 chances for and 7 against.
The Sabers:
| Player | F | A | D | TOI | ESF | ESA | ESD | EVTOI | PPF | PPA | PPD | PPTOI | SHF | SHA | SHD |
| Pysyk | 3 | 5 | -2 | 19:52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 01:09 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
| Mcbain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21:01 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 03:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mccormick | 0 | 1 | -1 | 07:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Ott | 6 | 10 | -4 | 16:30 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 15:30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
| Ehrhoff | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:03 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:09 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 03:07 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Hodgson | 5 | 6 | -1 | 23:55 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 20:43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 02:56 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Tallinder | 4 | 9 | -5 | 17:17 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 16:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
| Stafford | 4 | 7 | -3 | 21:36 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 18:49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 01:41 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
| Leino | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14:31 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 12:50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 01:41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Moulson | 5 | 4 | 1 | 22:05 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19:09 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 02:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Girgensons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:25 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott | 0 | 1 | -1 | 06:38 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 06:38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ristolainen | 4 | 5 | -1 | 18:27 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 18:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myers | 6 | 7 | -1 | 20:20 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18:11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 01:45 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
| Ennis | 6 | 7 | -1 | 17:44 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 14:17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 03:27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Flynn | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tropp | 2 | 1 | 1 | 08:53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 07:43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 01:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Foligno | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:37 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 00:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Enroth | 13 | 17 | -4 | 59:12 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 52:45 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 04:37 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
After a night where no Sabre was positive, there was some improvement for Buffalo on Saturday, with Brian Flynn and Marcus Foligno leading the team at +2. Tyler Myers also improved substantially to get to even; Henrik Tallinder had the team's lowest rating in both games, but was only a -2 in this game, again a substantial improvement.
Players with nice chance numbers:
Toronto - Mark Fraser, Trevor Smith, Joffrey Lupul
Buffalo - Brian Flynn, Marcus Foligno
Players with poor chance numbers:
Toronto - Cody Franson, Peter Holland
Buffalo - Henrik Tallinder, Tyler Ennis
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