Toronto were the better team in the second, before a meltdown, Cowen scoring on a rebound and Spezza getting a fourth just 15 seconds later. This chased James Reimer from the net, and saw Jonathan Bernier make his home Leafs debut. He wouldn't allow another goal, as the Leafs outplayed the Sens substantially from that point on. Lupul pulled one back on a late powerplay, and JVR drew the teams level early in the third. While Ottawa had a couple of good third period chances, they had none in the last eight minutes, nor in the overtime. This has been a good sign in all three of the Leafs' games thus far this year; they've allowed just six chances in the last ten minutes of games, all while tied or defending leads.
The Leafs marginally outchanced the Sens in the first two periods, and were level on even strength, but that solid finish, and getting the only chances of overtime, saw them record their first game outchancing an opponent this year.
A summary of the scoring chances below the fold.
| All | TOR | OTT |
| 1 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Total | 27 | 19 |
Then only at even strength:
| ES | TOR | OTT |
| 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Total | 21 | 18 |
This was my list of scoring chances from the game. If you see any problems or omissions (here or anywhere else), please go ahead and leave a comment.
| Club | St | P | Time | Note | Toronto | Ottawa | ||||||||||
| TOR | ES | 1 | 01:22 | Lupul from Kadri | 43 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 01:39 | Smith from Conacher | 63 | 12 | 56 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 89 | 4 | 77 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 03:52 | Ryan from Michalek | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 44 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 03:53 | Ryan from rebound | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 44 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 04:21 | GOAL! Raymond from Bolland | 63 | 40 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 07:33 | GOAL! Turris from Cowan | 43 | 19 | 40 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 08:26 | Kessel from Van Riemsdyk | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 10:27 | GOAL! Conacher steals from Franson | 43 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 12:36 | Bolland from turnover | 63 | 40 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 1 | 13:28 | Devane from Orr | 11 | 28 | 59 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 44 | 22 | 28 | 4 | 77 | 41 |
| OTT | SH | 1 | 14:18 | Spezza from rebound | 11 | 42 | 3 | 36 | 34 | - | 19 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | PP | 1 | 16:20 | Kessel from Phaneuf wide | 43 | 81 | 19 | 3 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 41 | - |
| TOR | PP | 1 | 17:29 | Lupul from Ranger | 43 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41 | - | - |
| TOR | PP | 1 | 17:33 | GOAL! Kadri from Raymond | 43 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 41 | - |
| OTT | ES | 1 | 19:04 | Turris drive | 43 | 19 | 56 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 00:27 | Van Riemsdyk drive | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 02:41 | Kessel from rebound | 42 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 02:42 | Kessel wide from rebound | 42 | 81 | 21 | 4 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 03:46 | Greening wide from Smith | 11 | 40 | 12 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 05:04 | Abbott drive | 43 | 56 | 59 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 44 | 89 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 05:47 | Michalek from Spezza | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 06:24 | Kessel from Rielly | 42 | 81 | 19 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 44 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 07:35 | Bolland from Raymond | 63 | 40 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 4 | 77 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 08:15 | Conacher from loose puck | 43 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 51 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 10:40 | MacArthur from Conacher | 43 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 10:41 | GOAL! Cowen from rebound of MacArthur shot | 43 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 2 | 10:56 | GOAL! Spezza from loose puck | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 2 | 13:23 | Phaneuf drive | 42 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 36 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| TOR | PP | 2 | 19:43 | GOAL! Lupul from Raymond | 43 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 44 | 22 | 2 | 65 | 41 | - |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 01:50 | MacArthur steals from Franson | 42 | 81 | 4 | 44 | 45 | - | 7 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 | - |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 02:40 | Michalek from Spezza | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 02:52 | GOAL! Van Riemsdyk from Kessel | 42 | 81 | 21 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | PP | 3 | 05:06 | Kadri wide from Lupul | 43 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 44 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 41 | - |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 07:02 | Wiercoch from Spezza | 43 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 07:14 | Bozak from Kessel | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 09:15 | Smith from turnover | 11 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 14 | 15 | 25 | 4 | 77 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 10:23 | Van Riemsdyk from Kessel | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 65 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 11:03 | Macarthur from Turris | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 36 | 45 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 41 |
| OTT | ES | 3 | 11:13 | Spezza from MacArthur | 11 | 43 | 40 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 13:15 | Lupul from Bolland | 63 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 44 | 45 | 7 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 18:18 | Lupul from rebound of Raymond shot | 63 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 15 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 19:01 | Van Riemsdyk from Kessel | 42 | 81 | 21 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 15 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 3 | 19:13 | Ranger drives | 11 | 63 | 19 | 15 | 51 | 45 | 19 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 41 |
| TOR | ES | 4 | 00:35 | Rielly from rebound | 43 | 19 | 3 | 44 | 45 | - | 7 | 16 | 2 | 46 | 41 | - |
| TOR | ES | 4 | 01:43 | Bolland wide from McClement | 11 | 63 | 3 | 36 | 45 | - | 44 | 6 | 2 | 65 | 41 | - |
| TOR | PP | 4 | 04:52 | Van Riemsdyk from Phaneuf | 42 | 81 | 21 | 3 | 45 | - | 7 | 3 | 4 | 41 | - | - |
The Extra Skater game profile.
The Leafs also took the Corsi win for the first time this year, at 80-68. At 5-on-5, though it was the Sens who had the Corsi edge, 58-49.
Also, here's a link to a view from the other side of scoring chances, from the6thsens. As you'd expect, pretty similar, though I ended up going with a couple that they didn't.
The overall scoring chance numbers for the Leaf players:
| Player | F | A | D | TOI |
| Phaneuf | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25:05 |
| Franson | 5 | 7 | -2 | 23:26 |
| McClement | 3 | 4 | -1 | 13:32 |
| Raymond | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19:00 |
| Ranger | 14 | 5 | 9 | 21:57 |
| Lupul | 12 | 7 | 5 | 18:22 |
| Van Riemsdyk | 9 | 6 | 3 | 23:26 |
| Orr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 08:44 |
| Reimer | 14 | 13 | 1 | 30:56 |
| Gunnarson | 8 | 5 | 3 | 19:24 |
| Bodie | 3 | 3 | 0 | 08:14 |
| Bozak | 11 | 8 | 3 | 24:13 |
| Kadri | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15:51 |
| Rielly | 3 | 8 | -5 | 18:07 |
| Bernier | 13 | 6 | 7 | 34:04 |
| Gardiner | 14 | 6 | 8 | 21:23 |
| Abbott | 2 | 6 | -4 | 05:16 |
| Devane | 2 | 0 | 2 | 06:52 |
| Bolland | 7 | 1 | 6 | 18:22 |
| Kessel | 11 | 7 | 4 | 24:46 |
And at even strength alone:
| Player | F | A | D | EVTOI |
| Phaneuf | 7 | 6 | 1 | 18:29 |
| Franson | 5 | 7 | -2 | 19:00 |
| McClement | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12:42 |
| Raymond | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 |
| Ranger | 10 | 5 | 5 | 19:05 |
| Lupul | 7 | 7 | 0 | 15:23 |
| Van Riemsdyk | 8 | 6 | 2 | 18:00 |
| Orr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 08:44 |
| Reimer | 11 | 12 | -1 | 26:07 |
| Gunnarson | 8 | 4 | 4 | 18:34 |
| Bodie | 3 | 3 | 0 | 08:14 |
| Bozak | 10 | 7 | 3 | 18:57 |
| Kadri | 3 | 9 | -6 | 12:45 |
| Rielly | 3 | 8 | -5 | 17:42 |
| Bernier | 10 | 6 | 4 | 29:45 |
| Gardiner | 9 | 6 | 3 | 19:01 |
| Abbott | 2 | 6 | -4 | 05:16 |
| Devane | 2 | 0 | 2 | 06:52 |
| Bolland | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:48 |
| Kessel | 9 | 7 | 2 | 19:40 |
Dave Bolland was the best Leaf playing on Saturday, and Randy Carlyle knew it, putting him out for nearly 18 minutes, almost as much as the Bozak line. His 7 chances for were excellent, but critically he was on the ice for just one against, something that only Orr and Devane, who played little, could better. The big line was also playing well, allowing a lot of chances, but this time at least managing a positive split. Bozak tied for the team lead in being on for ten chances.
Kadri continues to struggle, and its not surprising that Lupul, who's been very good, ended up with Bolland and Raymond, who had another good game, towards the end of the third. Kadri's nine ES chances against were the worst on the team. Devane had a good few minutes in his debut, while Abbott had a bad night, on for more than a chance against a minute.
Paul Ranger in this game is the classic example of eyes differing from stats. He seemed to struggle at times, and committed some giveaways, but he had an excellent chance ratio, equaling Bozak by being on for 10 chances. He also had the best Corsi Rel of any of the Leafs' defenders. I wonder how the talk about him would have differed if he'd made that shot late, instead of hitting the bar.
Jake Gardiner had his first positive game, and Gunnarson was his steady self. Franson, who had some poor moments alongside a rookie, was OK, while Rielly's extra time late in the game came in spite of some serious struggles.
The Sens:
| Player | F | A | D | TOI |
| Cowen | 9 | 14 | -5 | 21:46 |
| Methot | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:40 |
| Phillips | 2 | 13 | -11 | 23:43 |
| Ryan | 8 | 9 | -1 | 16:52 |
| Turris | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20:51 |
| Michalek | 7 | 10 | -3 | 19:37 |
| Greening | 3 | 5 | -2 | 11:45 |
| Smith | 3 | 5 | -2 | 16:18 |
| Macarthur | 9 | 4 | 5 | 18:43 |
| Spezza | 8 | 9 | -1 | 19:42 |
| Condra | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12:18 |
| Neil | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:40 |
| Kassian | 0 | 1 | -1 | 04:49 |
| Anderson | 19 | 27 | -8 | 65:00 |
| Pageau | 0 | 8 | -8 | 13:22 |
| Wiercioch | 9 | 6 | 3 | 19:12 |
| Karlsson | 8 | 13 | -5 | 27:13 |
| Corvo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:38 |
| Conacher | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 |
And at even strength:
| Player | F | A | D | EVTOI |
| Cowen | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16:35 |
| Methot | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20:49 |
| Phillips | 2 | 8 | -6 | 18:21 |
| Ryan | 7 | 9 | -2 | 15:35 |
| Turris | 8 | 4 | 4 | 17:10 |
| Michalek | 6 | 10 | -4 | 16:54 |
| Greening | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:39 |
| Smith | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15:50 |
| Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 |
| Spezza | 7 | 9 | -2 | 17:59 |
| Condra | 0 | 5 | -5 | 09:21 |
| Neil | 3 | 3 | 0 | 00:40 |
| Kassian | 0 | 1 | -1 | 04:49 |
| Anderson | 18 | 21 | -3 | 55:52 |
| Pageau | 0 | 6 | -6 | 11:04 |
| Wiercioch | 8 | 6 | 2 | 16:55 |
| Karlsson | 7 | 11 | -4 | 24:37 |
| Corvo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:38 |
| Conacher | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14:09 |
Clarke MacArthur's comments made it clear he didn't have a lot of love for Randy Carlyle, and he did his best to show him what he was missing with an excellent game, leading the Sens with nine chances and at +6. Turris and Conacher were also both excellent, making a very effective second line.
Condra and Pageau were gaping holes, generating no chances and on for a bundle, given their minutes. I might have been a little harsh to Pageau with one chance that I just rejected, but even with that he would have struggled. Spezza and Ryan on the top line weren't anything special, decent, but allowing a number of chances against.
Cowen had a number of nice moments, including his goal, and had a solid game overall. Karlsson never really seemed to get going offensively the way that he can, ended up a mild negative. Phillips was the worst on the defense, with a team low -6.
Players with nice chance numbers:
Toronto - Dave Bolland, Paul Ranger, Carl Gunnarson
Ottawa - Clarke MacArthur, Cory Conacher, Kyle Turris
Players with poor chance numbers:
Toronto - Nazem Kadri, Morgan Rielly, Cody Franson
Ottawa - Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Erik Condra, Chris Phillips
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